Ten agents take gold apart every day. One of them tries to prove the others wrong.
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Was the risk premium priced in, or did the dollar simply fall?
Extreme positioning signals a reversal? We measured ten years. It is false.
Here, an adversarial agent attacks every thesis before you read it.
Nothing is written by a rushed human. Nothing is invented by a chatty machine. Every figure comes from a verifiable source.
Real rates and inflation from the Federal Reserve, spot price from the London fix, futures positioning published by the US regulator, tick-by-tick quotes, and eight targeted news feeds. Refreshed every twenty minutes.
Rolling correlations, z-scores, market regimes, price levels actually tested, liquidity pockets. No artificial intelligence is involved here — because a language model doing arithmetic in its head invents numbers that are credible and wrong.
One agent per domain: real rates, the dollar, inflation, positioning, physical demand, geopolitics, cross-asset, liquidity, price structure. Each sees only its own ground, which makes them disagree — and those disagreements are where the value is.
An agent whose only job is to demolish the thesis: hunting correlations mistaken for causes, mis-dated figures, windows chosen after the fact. Its critique goes into the note itself, not hidden in an appendix.
Where gold stands, and why.
What is driving the price right now, and by how much
The levels the market actually turned at
The weekly analysis and the daily brief, in full
Easy to say, rarely done. Here is what that means concretely.
The agents cannot reach any data except through measurement tools. A quoted figure was therefore necessarily read somewhere, it carries its date, and you can go find it. That is the difference between analysis and conversation.
When the adversarial team takes an argument apart, that demolition appears in the note. We have retracted two central claims in a single publication. It is uncomfortable, and that is the point.
When a model explains poorly, we flag it instead of publishing its output. When a popular indicator does not survive measurement, we write that down. You get honest uncertainty rather than manufactured confidence.
This is not a signal service: we will never tell you to buy or sell. It is not personalised investment advice — we know neither your situation nor your goals. And we promise no profit: we tested our own indicators over fifty-eight years of data and publish the results, including when they are disappointing.
We do not promise it, and we are wary of those who do. We tested the classic technical indicators over fifty-eight years of data: their predictive power has fallen roughly tenfold since 1997. We publish that result because it is true. What MacroGold gives you is an understanding of the mechanisms and a frame to situate the market — not a money machine.
No, and that is a design choice. Every table is followed by an explanation written for a beginner: where the figure comes from, what a high or low value means, and above all what it does not say. Jargon is explained the first time it appears.
No. You will never receive “buy here, sell there.” You will receive: here are the levels the market has actually respected, here is the macro backdrop, here is what would strengthen or break each one. The decisions stay yours.
From primary, public sources: the St. Louis Federal Reserve for rates and inflation, the London fix for the spot price, the US futures regulator for positioning, and tick-by-tick quotes for intraday. Every figure shown carries its observation date.
Market data every twenty minutes. A deep analysis every Sunday evening. A short briefing every weekday morning before the New York open.
In one click from your account, at any time. Access stays active until the end of the period already paid for, and nothing is charged after that.